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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
HL

Hibernian
0 - 1
Hearts


Levitt (62'), Boyle (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shankland (90+3')
Rowles (14'), Nieuwenhof (59'), Atkinson (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 St Mirren
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 1-2 Hearts

With home advantage in their favour, Hibs will be confident about continuing their resurgence up the table. However, we are backing Hearts to edge a nervy contest, one which may end with the visitors throwing more caution to the wind in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawHearts
42.79% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 24.94% (0.029 0.03) 32.28% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 56.98% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.167 -0.17)46.25% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.157 -0.16)68.54% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)21.63% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)54.74% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (-0.157 -0.16)27.31% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.206 -0.21)62.75% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 42.79%
    Hearts 32.28%
    Draw 24.93%
HibernianDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.79%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-1 Hibernian
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 4-1 Hibernian
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Hibernian
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 St Mirren
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 0-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Rangers
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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