Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.