SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
40.44% ( 0.14) | 25.69% ( -0.01) | 33.86% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.87% ( -0.01) | 49.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.8% ( -0) | 71.19% ( -0) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.07) | 24.01% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( 0.1) | 58.27% ( -0.11) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( -0.09) | 27.71% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( -0.12) | 63.27% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.86% |
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