SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
32.77% ( -0.02) | 25.7% ( -0.02) | 41.52% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( 0.07) | 49.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( 0.06) | 71.49% ( -0.06) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 0.02) | 28.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( 0.02) | 64.35% ( -0.02) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( 0.05) | 23.62% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( 0.08) | 57.7% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.77% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.52% |
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