Neither side seems capable of keeping clean sheets, with only one shutout recorded in their last 10 Premiership games combined.
Motherwell have changed head coach, but that is unlikely to be the fillip required to end an 11-game winless run in the competition at a ground where they struggle to keep visitors at arm's length.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
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