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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
ML

St Mirren
1 - 0
Motherwell

Main (16')
Greive (37'), Offord (81'), Fraser (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goss (61'), Lamie (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: St Mirren 1-0 Motherwell

Although St Mirren and Motherwell have struggled in the league of late, the Buddies have continued to enjoy success on home soil and should edge out the visitors on Saturday, enhancing their outstanding defensive record at the SMISA Stadium in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
42.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.82%29.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.92% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.31%58.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77%79.23% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.21% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 42.45%
    Motherwell 29.72%
    Draw 27.81%
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 29.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Dundee (2-0 pen.)
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Celtic 4-0 St Mirren
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Mirren
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 St Mirren
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Arbroath 0-2 Motherwell
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Ross County
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-3 Hibernian
Sunday, January 8 at 1.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


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