SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
34.54% ( 0.93) | 26.14% ( -0.8) | 39.32% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.57% ( 2.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( 3.43) | 50.93% ( -3.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( 2.93) | 72.8% ( -2.93) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 2.27) | 28.17% ( -2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( 2.79) | 63.85% ( -2.79) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( 1.52) | 25.42% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( 2.03) | 60.24% ( -2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.31)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.54% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -1.04)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.94) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.32% |
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