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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 5.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.74%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
82.83% ( -0.05) | 11.55% ( 0.02) | 5.62% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.76% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.29% ( 0.06) | 31.7% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.78% ( 0.07) | 53.21% ( -0.08) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.37% ( 0) | 5.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.18% ( 0.01) | 21.82% ( -0.01) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.43% ( 0.15) | 52.57% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.62% ( 0.1) | 86.37% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.5% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 82.81% | 1-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 11.55% | 0-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 5.62% |
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