Hearts are yet to fully be at their best in the Scottish Premiership this term, but Neilson has a strong squad at his disposal, and on the back of a confidence-boosting win away at Rigas, they should have what it takes to return to winning ways at Fir Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
34.53% ( -0)	27.38% ( -0.49)	38.09% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.04% (

1.87)

55.96% (

-1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.94% (

1.5)

77.06% (

-1.5)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

0.94)

30.66% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1% (

1.1)

66.9% (

-1.09)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

1.21)

28.47% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76% (

1.49)

64.24% (

-1.49)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 34.53%

Hearts 38.09%

Draw 27.38%

Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.09%