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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
LL

Motherwell
1 - 0
Livingston

van Veen (68' pen.)
Morris (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bahamboula (74')
Bahamboula (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Motherwell
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Hibernian
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-2 Livingston

Both teams have shown their qualities in the opening three matches to this point, and they have been great offensively, causing problems for other teams that they have faced. Because of that, there is a good chance that there will be plenty of goals in this one, and with very little to separate them right now a draw could be the end result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawLivingston
34.27% (0.305 0.31) 28.67% (0.123 0.12) 37.06% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 45.75% (-0.324 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.27% (-0.411 -0.41)60.73% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.21% (-0.311 -0.31)80.79% (0.30900000000001 0.31)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.87% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-0.476 -0.48)31.45% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)67.83% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 34.27%
    Livingston 37.05%
    Draw 28.66%
MotherwellDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.45% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 37.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Motherwell
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Motherwell
Sunday, July 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Sligo 2-0 Motherwell
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Motherwell 0-1 Sligo
Thursday, July 21 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Celtic 6-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 14 at 12.15pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Hibernian
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Livingston
Sunday, August 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-2 Rangers
Saturday, July 30 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-2 Livingston
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Livingston 1-2 Inverness
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup


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