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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
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St Johnstone
1 - 0
Aberdeen

Hendry (17')
Hendry (24'), McCart (39'), Davidson (55'), Gordon (68'), Rooney (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bates (45'), Ferguson (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Next Game: St Johnstone vs. Annan
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Peterhead vs. Aberdeen
Sunday, July 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Aberdeen

With neither team being able to boast being in decent form, this could turn out to be a hard-fought contest decided by desire over quality. Much will depend on how Dundee fare on Tuesday, but we still feel that Aberdeen will have enough quality in the final third to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
32.47% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 29.67% (0.345 0.34) 37.86% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 42.77% (-0.927 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.76% (-1.117 -1.12)64.24% (1.114 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.65% (-0.799 -0.8)83.35% (0.79799999999999 0.8)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (-0.675 -0.68)36.4% (0.673 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82% (-0.688 -0.69)73.18% (0.685 0.69)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.73699999999999 -0.74)32.75% (0.736 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.83 -0.83)69.31% (0.828 0.83)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 32.46%
    Aberdeen 37.85%
    Draw 29.66%
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 32.46%
1-1 @ 13.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.92% (0.49 0.49)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.66%
0-1 @ 13.3% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 St Mirren
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 7-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Dundee
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-2 Livingston
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-1 Ross County
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Aberdeen
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Hibernian
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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