The differing forms heading into this game mean that we do not see Aberdeen coming away with a relatively comfortable victory, as most would expect. St Mirren will be a tough unit to break down, as their opponents have found in recent weeks, and despite the hosts being a much stronger side at home, the visitors are a difficult outfit to play against on their travels, and so we can see them coming away with a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	St Mirren
56.18% ( -0.09)	24.25% ( 0.12)	19.58% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.34% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.77% (

-0.5)

53.23% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

-0.42)

74.79% (

0.42)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

-0.22)

18.82% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.74% (

-0.37)

50.26% (

0.38)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.32% (

-0.32)

41.69% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.84% (

-0.28)

78.16% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 56.17%

St Mirren 19.58%

Draw 24.24%

Aberdeen	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.17%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.24%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.58%