SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 38 | -14 | 41 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 38 | -27 | 35 |
| 12 | Dundee | 38 | -30 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 35 | 8 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
35.7% ( 1.97) | 29.39% ( -0.75) | 34.91% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 43.79% ( 2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.87% ( 2.42) | 63.13% ( -2.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.44% ( 1.71) | 82.56% ( -1.71) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( 2.65) | 33.57% ( -2.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% ( 2.79) | 70.21% ( -2.79) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% ( 0.47) | 34.09% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.22% ( 0.5) | 70.78% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( -1.07)2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.38% | 0-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.98) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.91% |
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