Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 35.05%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (13.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundee United in this match.
