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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 7pm UK
McDiarmid Park
G

St Johnstone
2 - 4
Galatasaray

Cipe (39' og.), O'Halloran (90+4')
Kane (39'), Craig (40'), Davidson (60'), Hendry (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diagne (30'), Akturkoglu (64'), Feghouli (70'), Kilinc (90+2')
Marcao (41'), van Aanholt (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawGalatasaray
37.04%26.36%36.6%
Both teams to score 53.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3%51.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52%73.48%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95%27.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58%62.42%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69%27.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25%62.75%
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 37.04%
    Galatasaray 36.6%
    Draw 26.35%
St JohnstoneDrawGalatasaray
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 37.04%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.39%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.6%

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