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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Türk Telekom Stadyumu
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Galatasaray
1 - 1
St Johnstone

Boey (60')
Antalyali (49'), Marcao (80'), Turan (90+3')
Muslera (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kerr (58' pen.)
Kane (31'), Kerr (51'), Devine (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
GalatasarayDrawSt Johnstone
40.22%26.04%33.73%
Both teams to score 53.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42%72.58%
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58%59.41%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45%28.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66%64.33%
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 40.22%
    St Johnstone 33.73%
    Draw 26.03%
GalatasarayDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.73%

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