Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee United in this match.