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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 23, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
McDiarmid Park
HL

St Johnstone
0 - 1
Hibernian


McNamara (12'), Hendry (56'), Craig (90+1')
Craig (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mallan (90+1' pen.)
Hanlon (21'), Allan (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hibernian in this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHibernian
35.05%26.42%38.53%
Both teams to score 52.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95%52.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22%73.77%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6%28.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85%64.14%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63%26.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48%61.51%
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 35.05%
    Hibernian 38.53%
    Draw 26.41%
St JohnstoneDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.93%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.05%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-2 @ 6.65%
1-3 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.53%


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