SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cordoba had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Cordoba win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Cordoba |
53.18% ( 0.15) | 24.23% ( -0.02) | 22.58% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( -0.07) | 49.8% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( -0.06) | 71.8% ( 0.06) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( 0.03) | 18.67% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( 0.05) | 50% ( -0.05) |
| Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( -0.17) | 36.65% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( -0.17) | 73.44% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Cordoba |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 53.18% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 22.58% |
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