SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
41.35% ( -1.98) | 24.24% ( 0.33) | 34.4% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( -1.11) | 42.45% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.14% ( -1.11) | 64.86% ( 1.12) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -1.34) | 20.68% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( -2.16) | 53.27% ( 2.16) |
| Deportivo La Coruna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.43) | 24.22% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( 0.6) | 58.57% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.35% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.43)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.4% |
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