Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
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