Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Burgos |
44.04% ( 0.13) | 26.87% ( -0.05) | 29.09% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% ( 0.19) | 55.46% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% ( 0.15) | 76.65% ( -0.15) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% ( 0.15) | 25.02% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% ( 0.21) | 59.69% ( -0.21) |
Burgos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% ( 0.04) | 34.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.1% ( 0.04) | 70.9% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Burgos |
1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.09% |
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