SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Almeria |
51.26% ( 0.57) | 24.91% ( 0.4) | 23.83% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( -2.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( -2.48) | 51.32% ( 2.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -2.21) | 73.14% ( 2.21) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.74) | 20.02% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -1.2) | 52.22% ( 1.21) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% ( -2.21) | 36.34% ( 2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.88% ( -2.31) | 73.12% ( 2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.76% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.7)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.83% |
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