Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.