Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.