Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.