Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.83%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.