SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Burgos |
41.22% ( -0.18) | 28.83% ( -0.18) | 29.95% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 44.25% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.93% ( 0.69) | 62.07% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.21% ( 0.51) | 81.78% ( -0.51) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( 0.24) | 29.64% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( 0.29) | 65.68% ( -0.29) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.9% ( 0.66) | 37.1% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% ( 0.65) | 73.89% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.79% Total : 29.95% |
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