Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.43%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 30.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.83%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.