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Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
2 - 1
Lugo

Zorrilla (29'), Gallar (61')
Zorrilla (1'), Simon (35'), de la Bella (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Angel Carrillo (88')
Seoane (27'), Campabadal (31'), Djalo (67'), Dominguez (69'), Torres (90+6')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 42.51%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 28.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawLugo
42.51%28.96%28.53%
Both teams to score 43.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.06%62.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.57%82.43%
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66%29.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68%65.32%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27%38.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54%75.46%
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 42.51%
    Lugo 28.52%
    Draw 28.95%
CartagenaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 13.93%
2-0 @ 8.54%
2-1 @ 8.1%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 11.36%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.95%
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 5.11%
1-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 28.52%


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