Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.