Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.35%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (12.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.