Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (13.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-1.35) 
1.77) 
