Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
-0.27) 
0.13) 
