Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.6%) and 1-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (12.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Levante in this match.