Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.09) 
