Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Extremadura had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Extremadura win was 0-1 (12.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.