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Segunda Division | Gameweek 35
Jun 23, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Francisco de la Hera

Extremadura
1 - 2
Zaragoza

Alegria (8')
Nono (29'), Zarfino (89')
Nono (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guti (24'), Suarez (53')
Kagawa (88'), Zapater (90+5')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Extremadura and Real Zaragoza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Extremadura had a probability of 27.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Extremadura win it was 1-0 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
ExtremaduraDrawReal Zaragoza
27.75%27.87%44.39%
Both teams to score 45.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.33%59.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.01%79.99%
Extremadura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67%74.33%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95%62.05%
Score Analysis
    Extremadura 27.75%
    Real Zaragoza 44.38%
    Draw 27.86%
ExtremaduraDrawReal Zaragoza
1-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 6.36%
2-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-0 @ 1.58%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.75%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 10.05%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 13.24%
0-2 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-3 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.26%
1-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 44.38%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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