SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Extremadura had a probability of 27.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Extremadura win it was 1-0 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Extremadura | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 27.75% | 27.87% | 44.39% |
| Both teams to score 45.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.33% | 59.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% | 79.99% |
| Extremadura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.45% | 37.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.67% | 74.33% |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% | 26.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.95% | 62.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Extremadura | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 6.36% 2-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.75% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 13.24% 0-2 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-3 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.26% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.38% |
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