Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 (12.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.