Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 (13.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
