Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.72%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.