Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 32.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.03%) and 1-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 1-0 (14.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood.