Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 46.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.56%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
