Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.64%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (7.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.2%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.