Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.