Alcorcon
2 - 2
Lugo

Ribeiro (1'), Mula (70')
Ribeiro (59'), Mula (71'), Boateng (90+1'), Arribas (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Angel Carrillo (47'), Hacen (74')
Rahmani (36'), Seoane (49'), Angel Carrillo (51'), Campabadal (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alcorcon and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Lugo
39.12%	30.23%	30.64%

Both teams to score 40.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.75%

66.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.25%

84.75%

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98%

33.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.39%

69.6%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.1%

38.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.38%

75.62%

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 39.12%

Lugo 30.64%

Draw 30.22%

Alcorcon	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 14.23% 2-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 7.45% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.84% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.22%	0-1 @ 12.12% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.54% Total : 30.64%