Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 35.83%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (12.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.