SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 48.69% | 27.09% | 24.22% |
| Both teams to score 45.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.93% | 59.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.47% | 79.53% |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% | 24.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.21% | 58.79% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.69% | 40.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.06% | 76.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% 2-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.34% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.22% |
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