Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.