Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
